Forecast Changeable
Responding to Climate Change and “Future proofing”


Climate change is a fundamental threat to our quality of life. The causes of climate change may be disputed but the change is undeniable. We need to learn how to live with unpreventable change and to minimise future damage. Currently, our ability to adapt to climate change is being out-paced by changes to the climate. New techniques are required if we are to “future proof” ourselves from the worst effects of climate and other change.

“Future proofing” can be achieved by undertaking risk assessments of sites, structures, materials and their use, and minimising exposure of people and community assets to climatic and other hazardous events. We must seek ‘win, win, win’ solutions that do not put a future burden on people and their environment. Sustainability involves taking a preventative approach as well as planning ahead for adaptability.


Key Questions

    About the location of development -

    • Is the location at risk from flood, erosion, subsidence, instability, storm, drought, pollution, or health hazard? If so, can the development be located elsewhere?

    • What are the implications for the environment, for the economy and for the community of protecting a development from risk? (eg will flood protection be cost-effective? will it destroy valuable habitats? will it induce flooding elsewhere?)

    • Will the proposed new use of the site increase greenhouse gas emissions or create other effects which could set off a chain of unacceptable events? (eg carbon released from soil/peat/vegetation clearance, surface run-off causing erosion or flooding elsewhere, contaminants in soil, silt or water being re-mobilised to cause new pollution etc)

    About the design of the development -

    • Has the design of the building taken into account the potential impact of climate change? (eg flooding, subsidence, driven rain, wind exposure, solar gain and UV exposure)

    • How long is the building likely to last and how appropriate will the design be over this tim e period? Is it compatible with anticipated changes and increased risk at this location? Is the building or its function readily removable, adaptable or easy to dismantle?

    • Has the selection of materials and fittings (eg paints, finishes, water supply, drainage, roofing systems etc) taken into account potential climate change and other hazards?

    • Has information been supplied to potential occupants/purchasers about risks affecting the site and about mitigation/avoidance measures?


Benefits

  • Coping better with climate changes

  • Less impact on the climate from new developments and activities

  • Development of new “future proof” design and construction skills

  • Creative use of new or more effective materials and practical forms of development

  • Heightened public awareness of the importance of climate change and thus greater motivation to stop actions that cause climate change

  • Increased public awareness of risk and emergency planning procedures; development of new information systems to enable avoidance of risk by house and property purchasers


Case Studies

  • Wessex Water New Operations Centre, Bath

  • Eden Project, St Austell, Cornwall

  • Tolvaddon Energy Park, Cornwall

  • Environment Agency Laboratory, Starcross, Devon

  • National Trust Porlock Bay land management project

  • Sea Defence Scheme, Minehead - use of soft and hard elements to deal with sea level rise


Sources of help and information

  • C-CLIF web site (www.c-clif.co.uk)

  • South West Regional Sustainable Development Framework - Theme 3

  • Environment Agency website information on flood risk and environmental health, by postcode “What’s in your backyard” (www.environment-agency.gov.uk/yourenv)

  • BRE publication - potential implications of climate change in the built environment

  • National Trust climate change policy & adaptation strategies (www.ntenvironment.com/html/env_iss)

  • Planning Policy Guidance note 25 - Development and Flood Risk

  • Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (www.ippc.ch)




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